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Money & Investing

The two-hundred-year bet

What safe money quietly loses, and how it grows · 13 min

In 1789 Benjamin Franklin left a thousand pounds to two cities and forbade them to spend it for a hundred years, and part of it for two hundred. His arithmetic was perfect; the world didn't follow it. Why money that is safe is almost never standing still, the question about half the adults in a 140-country survey got wrong, and a three-part check you can run on your own savings.

Takeaways

  • In 1789 Benjamin Franklin left a thousand pounds each to Boston and Philadelphia, to be lent at five per cent and left to compound for up to two hundred years. His arithmetic was right; the funds grew, but far less than he forecast.
  • Money that is safe is rarely standing still: what it earns, minus fees, minus how fast prices rise, is its real rate, and that compounds, up or down. In a 2014 survey in over 140 countries, about half of adults answered a basic inflation question correctly.
  • This week: one pot, one date, one real rate.

Chapters

  1. A thousand pounds, two hundred years0:17
  2. The number on the screen1:58
  3. The real rate4:06
  4. Two safe pots6:57
  5. Hear it done8:27
  6. Build yours9:42
  7. The answer11:31

References

  1. Franklin, B. — Last Will and Testament, with Codicil of 23 June 1789(1789)
  2. Yenawine, B. H. — Benjamin Franklin and the Invention of Microfinance(2010)
  3. Phillips, R. J. — Review of Benjamin Franklin and the Invention of Microfinance
  4. HistoryNet — Ben Franklin's Gift that Keeps on Giving
  5. Klapper, L., Lusardi, A., & van Oudheusden, P. — Financial Literacy Around the World: Insights from the Standard & Poor's Ratings Services Global Financial Literacy Survey(2015)
  6. Shafir, E., Diamond, P., & Tversky, A. — Money illusion(1997)
  7. Ziano, I., Li, J., Tsun, S. M., Lei, H. C., Kamath, A. A., Cheng, B. L., & Feldman, G. — Revisiting "money illusion": Replication and extension of Shafir, Diamond, and Tversky (1997)(2021)
  8. de Moraes Ferreira, M., et al. — Replication: The money illusion effect in a Brazilian sample and meta-analyses(2024)
  9. The Franklin Institute — Benjamin Franklin's donor story